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09
December 2008
Vegas
Ranks Best College Football
Teams
Heading
into the last week of the regular
season, there's tons of
watercolor conversation about
college football. People are
especially curious about the
opinion of Las Vegas, since
sportsbooks back their opinions
with big money.
RJ
Bell of Pregame.com has polled
numerous Las Vegas and offshore
sports betting professionals.
Listed below are the top 8 BCS
teams, ranked from a betting
perspective. The number beside
each is the estimated number of
points that team would be
underdogs to Florida (the most
highly regarded team) on a
neutral field.
Florida
. . . (BSC #4)
Oklahoma
+1 . . . (BCS #2)
USC
+5 . . . (BCS #5)
Texas
+6 . . . (BCS #3)
Alabama
+8 . . . (BCS #1)
Penn
St +11 . . . (BCS #8)
Texas
Tech +11 . . . (BCS
#7)
Utah
+17 . . . (BCS #6)
For
example, Florida would be
approximately a 1 point favorite
over Oklahoma, and a 17 point
favorite over Utah. You can
compare any two teams with these
rankings: the team with the
higher number would be the
underdog by the difference
between its number and its
opponent's number. For example,
Oklahoma would be -4 over USC,
and Penn St and Texas Tech would
be "even" (also called
"pick'em"). Texas Tech would be
-6 over Utah.
A
little known fact is that Las
Vegas is no longer the center of
the sports betting world. Many of
the sharpest professionals bet
offshore. Las Vegas oddsmakers
follow this action closely, but
for political reasons they are
often uncomfortable disclosing
this fact. Pregame.com takes into
account experts worldwide,
providing the clearest estimate
of the true sports betting
market.
Lastly,
keep in mind that these rankings
are unable to account for the
nuances of individual team
match-ups. Such nuances can
affect a point spread, but rarely
by more than 1-point.
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